By Darlene Bremer
Unique Focus Delivers Fast Growth to American
Financial Realty Trust
Since its inception, American
Financial Realty Trust (NYSE: AFR) has focused
on acquiring and operating properties leased to
regulated financial institutions, such as banks,
brokerages and insurance companies, with terms ranging
from 10 years to 20 years. Founded in 1996 by Nicholas
and Shelley Schorsch as a mergers and acquisitions firm
called American Financial Resource Group (AFRG), the
company originally acquired operating companies in the
printing, label and financial services sectors. Two
years later, as part of a portfolio diversification
strategy, the Schorsches began acquiring real estate
properties.
AMERICAN FINANCIAL REALTY
TRUST |
1725 The
Fairway Jenkintown, PA
19046 215-887-2280 www.afrt.com Chairman:
Lewis S. Ranieri CEO, President & Vice
Chairman: Nicholas S. Schorsch COO &
SVP-Asset Management: Glenn
Blumenthal CFO: James T. Ratner •
52-Week High: $18.44 (3/1/04) • 52-Week Low:
$12.60 (5/10/04) Core Markets: The
company owns properties in 34 states.
|
"First we bought a few office buildings and a group
of vacant bank branches made redundant by the merger of
First Union (now Wachovia) and Core States, and in 1999
we began to acquire larger assets," Nicholas Schorsch,
vice chairman, president and chief executive officer,
says.
The first major acquisition made by the company was
the Fidelity Building, an 882,000 square foot office
building located in downtown Philadelphia. Acquired for
$110 million, AFRG leased most of the building back to
First Union for a 20-year term. At the time, the advent
of the Internet as a commercial marketplace had led most
to believe that bank branches would become obsolete, but
as the 1990s progressed that promise was not realized
and by the end of the decade, banks were still
expanding, rather than contracting, branch operations.
"In examining the financial institution segment, it
was becoming evident to us that banks needed to
reposition their assets and redeploy capital toward
their core business, rather than leaving money invested
in owner-occupied real estate," Schorsch says.
That belief led the company to focus on acquiring
entire portfolios of properties from large financial
institutions and then leasing them back with net-lease,
long-term leases. "We were initially surprised that the
sites of bank branches vacated through mergers were
still being sought after by the smaller financial
institutions, and even when not leased to a bank, the
sites are excellent choices for upscale retail uses," he
says.
Getting Started
2610
West Sugar Creek Rd. Charlotte,
N.C. |
From the beginning,
the company's goal has been to build a safe, long-term,
low-risk portfolio with excellent credit quality.
"With 20-year net leases signed by financial
institutions, we could acquire 20-year fixed financing
for our acquisitions," Schorsch says. In addition, the
company sold its non-bank assets to maximize value,
which allowed AFRG to focus on financial institutions.
Then, in September 2002, AFRG consolidated $270
million of its bank-specific assets, and, along with
Lewis Ranieri, one of the pioneers of mortgage-backed
securities, created American Financial Realty Trust
(AFR), and simultaneously raised $405 million in a
private equity placement of 40 million shares.
"With the additional equity capital, we were in a
position to make even more acquisitions," Schorsch says.
By this time, AFR had acquired more than 300 bank
buildings and branches in multiple states, largely in
"bulk sale" transactions. It was a risk, but the company
saw an opportunity to develop a niche that focused
entirely on acquiring properties and leasing them to
financial institutions.
"Our strategy is not a typical ‘buy and sell'
approach, but one that allows us to build a tremendous
pool of real estate assets that would encourage banks to
continue to do business with us," Schorsch says.
Public Momentum
For the company to continue to grow, the next logical
step was to go public. In June 2003, seven months after
its private equity placement, the company conducted an
IPO for an additional 65 million shares.
"If the business model we'd established was to
succeed long-term, we needed more capital," says Glenn
Blumenthal, senior vice president of asset management
and chief operating officer. Investors bought all of the
available shares, which were priced at $12.50, a 25
percent premium over the $10 per share price of the
private equity placement.
"The initial share price [of $12.50] was based on the
$750 million of assets in our portfolio at the time, and
by year's end the portfolio had more than doubled in
size and our stock price was over $17," Blumenthal adds.
Currently, the company's stock trades around $15.00
per share, with approximately half a million shares
traded per day.
Both the company and its shareholders received
various benefits from the IPO. According to Schorsch,
going public allowed AFR to demonstrate to the
marketplace that the company's business model provided
stable growth in cash flow with limited risk, due to the
high credit quality of its bank tenants. Shareholders
received shares in a company with nearly 90 percent of
its revenue derived from long-term leases with "A"
credit companies and a low (less than 3 percent
annually) lease rollover rate.
According to industry analysts, AFR's strategy has
worked well for the company in many respects since the
IPO.
"AFR has demonstrated that a product flow exists and
its stock, which is relatively attractively valued,
currently trades at 14 times our 2005 adjusted funds
from operations (AFFO) estimate, while the whole group
we cover is trading at 16.8 times our estimate," says
Paul Puryear, managing director, real estate research
for Raymond James Financial.
One disappointment, however, has been the company's
yields relative to the marketplace. "The asset pricing
that AFR has experienced has been higher than the
company probably envisioned, but then real estate prices
across the board have held," Puryear says.
And if AFR's AFFO growth rate has been slower than
anticipated since the IPO, that can be attributed to the
difficulty in finding attractively priced assets
combined with the relatively slow recovery, in general,
of the office market.
Future Strategies
AFR held $500 million of assets in 2002, $2.1 billion
in 2003, and nearly $4 billion at year-end 2004, for a
600 percent growth rate over three years. The number of
properties the company owns in 34 states and 120 markets
has grown from 259 in 2002 to 959 in 2004, and square
footage has increased from 7.1 million square feet in
2002 to approximately 33 million square feet in 2004.
Dividends have grown from $0.22 in the fourth quarter of
2002 to $0.26 in the fourth quarter of 2004, and total
capitalization has grown from $2.6 billion in 2003 to
$4.4 billion in 2004. "We attribute such a rapid growth
rate to a market that has a tremendous need for the
product we offer and for the customer-centric business
model our company pursues," Schorsch says. He also
credits the company's growth to the skills and
dedication of its management and employees, and the
relationships the company has built with its tenants,
customers and shareholders.
The company's strategy of focusing on financial
institutions has positioned the company to make numerous
acquisitions. In 2004, according to Schorsch, financial
institutions owned $92 billion of real estate, which has
historically been considered a drag on their capital.
"As banks try to move their real estate assets off
their balance sheets, we have built a platform that
allows them to sell their holdings to us, expand their
business with needed capital, and have flexible
occupancy options with leases that extend beyond the
normal three-year business cycle," he says.
Even while banks are divesting their real estate
holdings, they are in the process of expanding their
branch operations around the country. For example, Bank
of America opened 180 new branches last year, Fifth
Third Bank Corp. announced 70 new branches for 2005, and
Washington Mutual is planning to open more than 200 new
branches over the next few years. Since AFR already has
a large portfolio of branch properties that are
available for lease and fitted for banks, and has
capital to acquire other vacated branches, the company
is in a unique position to take full advantage of that
opportunity.
AFR's future growth strategy is to continue to commit
the company's balance sheet to properties occupied by
financial institutions and to work with strategic
partners and strategic properties on a broad-based
deployment across all 50 states.
"Our goal is to plan all new expansion in advance and
to develop product lines that service all of the
regulatory, flexibility, lease structure, and capital
needs of our financial institution customers," adds
James Ratner, senior vice president of finance and chief
financial officer.
Impact on Performance
According to John Kim, real estate analyst with Banc of America Securities, the
market has reacted cautiously to AFR's sizeable
acquisition activity, and even reacted negatively when
the company announced its $705 million State Street
Financial Center acquisition in 2003 because, at the
time, it was the highest price per square foot in the
Boston market.
"We believe this represented a shift in acquisition
strategy. With so much market activity, it is difficult
to gauge the quality of the company's acquisitions, and
vacancy has remained high relative to its peers," Kim
says.
In addition, at its current leverage level, Kim
believes that AFR would likely need to raise additional
equity to fund future acquisitions. "The company's
business model and somewhat niche strategy potentially
makes it an attractive investment, particularly if it
can create value with its vacant spaces through
successful leasing and/or selling at a profit," he adds.
However, office REITs that own and operate properties
nationally have not typically realized tremendous
economies of scale, and are often at a disadvantage to
the leading competitors in the geographic markets.
Even though the majority of AFR's assets are
net-lease, which require lower maintenance costs, the
company's staffing requirements are still probably
lagging, which can impact performance, according to
Christopher Haley, managing director of Wachovia Securities.
UPSIDE-DOWNSIDE Samplings of
what analysts are saying about American Financial
Realty Trust
UBS Rating: BUY2
(2/25/05) 12-month Projected Target Price:
$16.50 "We believe that AFR's good external
growth potential and 14-year stable leases remain
compelling factors. … We are maintaining our 2005
and 2006 AFFO per share estimates at $1.14 and
$1.20, as reimbursements and straight line rent
adjustment for the next three quarters are offset
by increased operating expenses. Further, we are
assuming $200 million in acquisitions and equity
issuance of 5 million shares in 2006."
Banc of America
Securities Rating: NEUTRAL
(2/25/05) 12-Month Projected Target Price:
$15.00 "We believe AFR trades at a 24 percent AFFO
discount to the office sector, partly due to the
unnecessary complexity when comparing AFR to its
peers, volume of moving parts and limited
operating history. ... In the past six months,
same-store occupancy increased 290 basis points to
87.2 percent, and same-store revenue increased 1
percent. However, AFR appears poised to continue
aggressive external growth, which will require a
meaningful equity infusion given its current
leverage."
Legg Mason Rating: HOLD
(2/28/05) 12-Month Projected Target Price: NA
"In our view, AFR has an improving story, with
strong earnings and dividend growth in a unique
niche. This is offset by an unusually high
execution risk profile embedded in the growth
program. … (We) believe the stock could have
significant upside potential if the company can
maintain its exclusive acquisition strategy and
tenant credit quality."
Raymond James & Associates,
Inc. Rating: MARKET PERFORM
(2/25/05) 12-month Projected Target Price: NA
"We continue to struggle with the key question in
our evaluation of American Financial: Is this
company making money for investors? We suspect
that the answer is yes, but based on what we
regard as comparable metrics we conclude that the
shares are fully valued are therefore downgrading
AFR shares to Market Perform from Outperform."
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"What is important is that the company continues to
execute its strategy, and that it can close transactions
quickly with its available capital, so its operating
platform is quickly catching up," Haley says.
With the sale of a 30 percent minority interest in
the State Street property recently at a 10 percent
imputed profit, investors' concerns about the original
purchase price have been somewhat mitigated.
"The sale was another example of the company's
capital recycling program, which mitigated market
concerns that AFR would need an immediate infusion of
capital to bring its leverage down," Haley says.
The State Street sale, along with others announced
since, has illustrated, in Haley's view, that AFR is
becoming more prudent and efficient with its capital
planning. However, AFR's sole focus in the financial
institution segment increases some investors' concerns.
It can be argued that, if banks fail, AFR would be
severely hurt.
"There are also concerns over the residual value of
the company's assets if bank tenants decide to leave,
particularly in the larger buildings in AFR's
portfolio," he says.
With such fast growth over such a short period of
time, the AFFO growth per share has actually been slower
than anticipated, according to Puryear.
"Although the investment rate in the company has been
substantial, it is still unproven whether the return on
investment is going to meet shareholders' objectives,"
he says. The market, he adds, is waiting to see if AFR
can lease or sell its assets and create higher yields.
Friedman, Billings, Ramsey & Co.,
Inc. analysts cited in a recent report three
areas where AFR will be challenged to improve results in
2005. First, the company has to redeploy equity from the
sale of a minority interest and the sale of largely
vacant properties. Second, the company received about $5
million in one-time income in 2004, and thirdly, AFR has
a piece of debt that it will refinance in June of 2005
at a higher fixed rate.
"At about an 87 percent occupancy rate, AFR has room
to work toward improving returns. We believe, however,
that the company's run-rate of earnings will lift to an
annualized rate of $1.40 or better over the next four or
five quarters," says Merrill Ross, FBR managing
director.
In a small amount of time, AFR has transformed itself
from a small, privately held company with a few assets
to a publicly held REIT with a great number of
properties across the country. The company assumes some
risks in its focused strategy, but these risks are
mitigated by its long-term leases to high-credit
companies, improved capital planning, and the discounted
valuation of its stock, Schorsch concludes.
"As banks continue to divest their corporate real
estate, we believe that our strategic relationships,
growing visibility within the banking industry, and
flexible acquisitions and lease structures position us
well for continued growth," Schorsch says.
Darlene Bremer is a regular contributor to
Portfolio.